Wind SeiryuuTier 2
at Phantom Monarch Regional
Pilot Skill ↓ low
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Shadowstrike | 14.3% | 3 | 0-1-2 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 48.0% | -1.5 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 7.1% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 54.7% | +4.5 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 7.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 63.6% | +21.7 |
| Fire Suited | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 7.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.7% | -14.9 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 7.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.4% | -7.4 |
| Water Tera Kongming | 7.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.9% | -16.1 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Lorraine | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 3 from this event
The 3 public Wind Seiryuu decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 2 mirror matches, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 2 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 2 mirrors we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 32 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 32 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Veiling Breeze | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Winds of Destiny | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Lost Providence | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Regal Inquisition | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Staggering Strike | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Stifling Trap | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Grand Crusader's Ring | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Trained Hawk | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Dream Fairy | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Innervate Agility | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Displace | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Orb of Sealing | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Resolute Stand | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Royal Oathguard | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Forest Cake | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Enfeebling Orb | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Excalibur, Cleansing Light | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Incapacitate | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Longtail Grovesward | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Dungeon Guide | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Scout the Land | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Draught of Stamina | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Clash of Fates | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Sunblessed Gazelle | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Beseech the Winds | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Purifying Thurible | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Lantern | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Bestial Frenzy | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Mirrorbound Covenant | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Imperious Galebind | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Tariff Ring | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Baby Green Slime | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 |